Trump's Dangerous Iran Game Not Going To Plan
Lark Davis · · 21:21 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $77,0544-hour candle close · 29 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
ETH near publication: $2,3244-hour candle close · 29 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT
On Bitcoin
No change since their last video.
Views
- This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading):
Very interesting. A lot a lot of evidence stacking up here that is just going to make four-year cyclists upset.
▶ 05:01 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).
If this, then that
- If Break back below the trend line, then 69k (next weeks):
Break back below the trend line, things are much more problematic. And then 69k comes probably a lot sooner than people think, unfortunately.
▶ 04:07
Levels named
- 79k: Support (weekly close above 79k would put price above the 20-week EMA):
Let's see if we can maintain and close the weekly above 79k, which will be above the 20-week EMA.
▶ 04:22 - 69k: Target (downside target if price breaks back below the trend line):
Break back below the trend line, things are much more problematic. And then 69k comes probably a lot sooner than people think, unfortunately.
▶ 04:07
Their own position: Not said.
On Ethereum
No change since their last video.
No view on any horizon.
If this, then that
- If Daily close below 2240, the 50-day EMA, then no target given (next weeks):
If we have a daily close below sort of 2240, let's say, it's 50-day EMA. Probably bad news bears for ETH and it goes a lot lower than people would like to think about currently.
▶ 07:24 - If Daily close above the orange box, then 2.64–2.8k (next weeks):
if we can get a damn daily close with this orange box here, we are running up to potentially 2800, 2640 I think at the least around this 200-day EMA here.
▶ 07:39
Levels named
- 2.8k: Target (upside if daily close above the orange box; 200-day EMA area):
if we can get a damn daily close with this orange box here, we are running up to potentially 2800, 2640 I think at the least around this 200-day EMA here.
▶ 07:39 - 2.64k: Target (take profit on the speaker's ETH trade):
Stop loss is at 2255. So, it'll be very small loss if that hits. Take profit still at 2640.
▶ 06:23 - 2.25k: Their view is wrong past this (stop loss on the speaker's ETH trade):
Stop loss is at 2255. So, it'll be very small loss if that hits. Take profit still at 2640.
▶ 06:23 - 2.24k: Support (50-day EMA; daily close below is bearish):
If we have a daily close below sort of 2240, let's say, it's 50-day EMA. Probably bad news bears for ETH and it goes a lot lower than people would like to think about currently.
▶ 07:24
Their own position: Holding; would buy at 2.28k. current entry on this is 2282. Stop loss, what is the stop loss at? Let me tell you, I forget.