Every Possible Scenario for Bitcoin in 2026
Lark Davis · · 13:21 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $89,2254-hour candle close · 25 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: months moved up to waiting; cycle flipped down to up.
Views
- Next months (next 2–6 months): Waiting on 100k (timeframe is our reading):
Bitcoin needs to break and hold above the 50-week simple moving average, right now it's around $100,000.
▶ 02:07 - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading):
Bitcoin's not done, Bitcoin will come back, Bitcoin will have another bull market, even if this is the first stages of a horrific bear market
▶ 09:20 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).
If this, then that
- If Bottom is in at 80K and Wall Street resumes mega buying (Valhalla scenario), then 150k (next months, by May or June of this year):
perhaps a little pullback in April or something like that, and then blast off to 150K or something in May or June of this year
▶ 01:32 - If Bitcoin breaks and holds above the 50-week simple moving average with a weekly close, then no target given (next months):
Bitcoin needs to break and hold above the 50-week simple moving average, right now it's around $100,000.
▶ 02:07 - If Rally up to 100K, kiss of death on the 50-week simple moving average, then down to the 200-week moving average (Goblin Town), then 55–60k (next months):
rally up to 100K, kiss of death on the 50-week simple moving average, and then mega Goblin Town, all the way back down to the 200-week moving average, which is currently coming in around 55 to 60,000 dollars.
▶ 08:48
Levels named
- 126k: Resistance (Snoozville range requires no new highs over 126K):
So, the key sign, not putting in new lows under under under 80K and not taking out new highs over 126.
▶ 06:12 - 100k: Resistance (50-week simple moving average must be broken and held for bullish confirmation):
Bitcoin needs to break and hold above the 50-week simple moving average, right now it's around $100,000.
▶ 02:07 - 80k: Support (Snoozville range requires no new lows under 80K):
So, the key sign, not putting in new lows under under under 80K and not taking out new highs over 126.
▶ 06:12 - 55–60k: Target (200-week moving average as the Goblin Town downside target):
rally up to 100K, kiss of death on the 50-week simple moving average, and then mega Goblin Town, all the way back down to the 200-week moving average, which is currently coming in around 55 to 60,000 dollars.
▶ 08:48 - 60k: Support (Under 60K the speaker would see it as a buying opportunity):
If we get under $60,000 Bitcoin, it's a buy. I know you don't want to hear it.
▶ 11:48
Their own position: Not said.