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Every Possible Scenario for Bitcoin in 2026

Lark Davis · · 13:21 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $89,2254-hour candle close · 25 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months moved up to waiting; cycle flipped down to up.

Views

  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Waiting on 100k (timeframe is our reading): Bitcoin needs to break and hold above the 50-week simple moving average, right now it's around $100,000. ▶ 02:07
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): Bitcoin's not done, Bitcoin will come back, Bitcoin will have another bull market, even if this is the first stages of a horrific bear market ▶ 09:20 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

If this, then that

  • If Bottom is in at 80K and Wall Street resumes mega buying (Valhalla scenario), then 150k (next months, by May or June of this year): perhaps a little pullback in April or something like that, and then blast off to 150K or something in May or June of this year ▶ 01:32
  • If Bitcoin breaks and holds above the 50-week simple moving average with a weekly close, then no target given (next months): Bitcoin needs to break and hold above the 50-week simple moving average, right now it's around $100,000. ▶ 02:07
  • If Rally up to 100K, kiss of death on the 50-week simple moving average, then down to the 200-week moving average (Goblin Town), then 55–60k (next months): rally up to 100K, kiss of death on the 50-week simple moving average, and then mega Goblin Town, all the way back down to the 200-week moving average, which is currently coming in around 55 to 60,000 dollars. ▶ 08:48

Levels named

  • 126k: Resistance (Snoozville range requires no new highs over 126K): So, the key sign, not putting in new lows under under under 80K and not taking out new highs over 126. ▶ 06:12
  • 100k: Resistance (50-week simple moving average must be broken and held for bullish confirmation): Bitcoin needs to break and hold above the 50-week simple moving average, right now it's around $100,000. ▶ 02:07
  • 80k: Support (Snoozville range requires no new lows under 80K): So, the key sign, not putting in new lows under under under 80K and not taking out new highs over 126. ▶ 06:12
  • 55–60k: Target (200-week moving average as the Goblin Town downside target): rally up to 100K, kiss of death on the 50-week simple moving average, and then mega Goblin Town, all the way back down to the 200-week moving average, which is currently coming in around 55 to 60,000 dollars. ▶ 08:48
  • 60k: Support (Under 60K the speaker would see it as a buying opportunity): If we get under $60,000 Bitcoin, it's a buy. I know you don't want to hear it. ▶ 11:48

Their own position: Not said.