Crypto - WTF Do We Even Do Now?
Lark Davis · · 52:09 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $87,8574-hour candle close · 23 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
ETH near publication: $2,9744-hour candle close · 23 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTC · ETH/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: cycle flipped up to down.
Views
- Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up:
at the very least Q1 giving us a relief rally up to 100K for BTC and a lot of altcoins will go up like 100% or
▶ 49:54 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 78.8k on 3 Feb 2026 (−36.1%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down:
And we don't see a bottom for Bitcoin until like October or November of 2026.
▶ 34:05 Said again while their call of 16 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 16 Dec 2026, against 87.3k when said.
If this, then that
- If Bitcoin loses the bear flag support / breaks down out of the tight range, then 75k (next weeks):
But probably if we lose this, market will start positioning short down to the 75K level.
▶ 10:14 - If Bitcoin breaks out of the tight triangle range, then 100k (next weeks):
Uh if we break out here, market starts positioning for the 100K retest.
▶ 10:21
Levels named
- 100k: Target (global liquidity, end of year selling and options expiry clearing point to a Q1 relief rally):
at the very least Q1 giving us a relief rally up to 100K for BTC
▶ 49:54 - 75k: Target (lower range of the April price action, lines up with 2024 resistance):
But probably if we lose this, market will start positioning short down to the 75K level.
▶ 10:14 - 68k: Support (200 week EMA; wouldn't want to see price lower than that):
Maybe get back down to the 200E EMA, which is around $68,000 right now.
▶ 11:00
Their own position: Bought. still buying a little bit of Salana every week, a little bit of Bitcoin, you know, just small purchases.
On Ethereum
No change since their last video.
Views
- Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up:
Perhaps we are finding a bottoming moment here for these coins in the short term with a potential rally into Q1 at least
▶ 15:59 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 4.53k when said, 2.32k on 3 Feb 2026 (−48.8%).
Their own position: Holding. I've basically reduced all exposure to layer 1 trade except for Ethereum and Salana.
Dates named
- Large crypto options expiry at end of week on 26 Dec 2025:
we have a huge amount of options expiring at the end of the week for crypto.