I Mapped Bitcoin's September Day by Day. Here's the Schedule.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: if I had to bet on it, Bitcoin's going to try some upside. Um, overall, maybe a little bit, you know, closer to the midpoint of September ▶ 17:21 Said again while their call of 19 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 68.6k when said, 80.7k on 18 Sep 2026 (+17.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: if I had to bet on Bitcoin, getting back above six digits by end of year at some point, maybe not necessarily holding it by end of year ▶ 11:56 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes a day out above 82,800, giving a bullish engulfing on the bimonthly, then no target given (next months): if Bitcoin uh if Bitcoin were to close a day out above 82,800, then yes, you will have that bullish engulfing. ▶ 15:34

Levels named

• 100k: Target (median Q4 return after a green Q3): you know, we're talking about price action back above 100,000 bucks. ▶ 11:23
• 96–97k: Target (top of the 38.2% range highs after reclaiming the HPDR median): which as of right now would be where it would be all the way at be all the way at like 96 97,000 bucks. ▶ 18:16
• 82.6k: Target (median green September return applied to the open): then that would put Bitcoin effectively on a new weekly high at 82,649. ▶ 09:36
• 75.7k: Support (bi-weekly 21 EMA as a pullback area of interest): We'll be looking at the bi-weekly 21 EMA, which is where which is 75675. ▶ 17:06
• 74k: Support (bi-weekly HPDR median; a closing break below would hurt the setup): barring a catastrophic uh closure in the next couple weeks below about that $74,000 number. ▶ 18:28
• 72k: Support, expected to hold (bi-weekly 5 EMA, worst-case area): First off, I think very unlikely to see Bitcoin below the 5 EMA, which right now is just above 72,000 bucks. ▶ 16:45

Their own position: Short. those September 4 $74,000 puts that I sold 20 times for I think it was uh 550.

Dates named

• FOMC meeting on 16 Sep 2026: around Wednesday the 16th of September the Fed um 2 days before quad witching you're going to have you know you're going to have FOMC
• September quad witching on 18 Sep 2026: quarterly uh quarterly quarterly expiry lands September 18th and since CME futures listed in 2018, the week after September's quad witching has bled a median of 2 and a half% actually