Here's How I Will Play The 2026 Bear Market
Krown · · 23:43 · Watch on YouTube
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BTC near publication: $89,0164-hour candle close · 30 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: weeks went from leaning up to expecting up.
Views
- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects up:
I do expect January to open up with a bit of a bounce attempt to the upside, maybe even a pretty deep bounce as well
▶ 00:14 Said again while their call of 7 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 89.6k when said, 93.6k on 6 Jan 2026 (+4.6%). - Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down:
And ultimately, I do think that Bitcoin likely will see lower at some point in 2026.
▶ 22:44 Said again while their call of 16 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 111.4k when said, 67.2k on 13 Feb 2026 (−39.7%).
If this, then that
- If Weekly close above the reversal level negates the bearish view and turns the speaker bullish, then no target given (this cycle):
And that is with a weekly closure very specifically above this level right here, which is $17,500.
▶ 01:13 - If Bitcoin trades below the 2025 low during 2026, confirming the reversal and pointing to a lower swing low, then no target given (next months, by at any point in 2026):
if Bitcoin at any point in 2026 trades below the low of 2025 which is 74,441 which was in April of course then at that point you know we do have a pretty uh obvious reversal confirmed
▶ 06:42
Levels named
- 107.5k: Their view is wrong past this (A close above would negate the four-year cycle):
Bitcoin closed above 107500, that would be good enough for at least for me.
▶ 04:17 - 105k: Target (Possible deep bounce in January, likely a failure):
could even get all the way up to like 105 for example
▶ 01:30 - 74.4k: Support (Low of 2025; trading below it confirms the reversal):
if Bitcoin at any point in 2026 trades below the low of 2025 which is 74,441 which was in April of course then at that point you know we do have a pretty uh obvious reversal confirmed
▶ 06:42 - 58.5–60k: Target (Quarterly 21 EMA target from four drives of bearish divergence):
that 21 EMA is coming in around upper $50,000 territory about 58500 should rise up probably above 60,000 by the next tick I do think that we will see that target hit at some point in 2026.
▶ 10:42
Their own position: Bought. Well, I'm going to use this period to accumulate personally.
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