Bitcoin January Breakdown | Average Returns, Losses & Trends

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting down to leaning down; weeks went from leaning up to expecting up.

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• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): but probably going to test those lows once again for for the short-term time frames ▶ 02:55 Said again while their call of 23 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 87.4k when said, 89k on 30 Dec 2025 (+1.8%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects up: but I still do anticipate a bounce at some point between now and probably middle of January. ▶ 04:54 Said again while their call of 7 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 89.6k when said, 93.6k on 6 Jan 2026 (+4.6%).

If this, then that

• If January closes as an average losing month (about -16% from the December close), then 72k (next weeks): shaving off about 16% which is the average loss for a losing January to put Bitcoin down around 72,000 bucks ▶ 03:20
• If Bitcoin gets back above 107,500, his line in the sand for a meaningful reversal rather than a bull trap, then no target given (next months): which will put Bitcoin back at around 107,500 which is actually a very very important number because uh if you recall that is my line in the sand for ▶ 04:26
• If Bitcoin reclaims today's high, then no target given (next weeks): at least be looking towards 93 and a half, 94,000 bucks ▶ 16:23

Levels named

• 107.5k: Resistance (line in the sand between a bull trap rally and a meaningful reversal): which will put Bitcoin back at around 107,500 which is actually a very very important number because uh if you recall that is my line in the sand for ▶ 04:26
• 92.6k: Target (about the 2025 open, which commonly gets retested): and that's at 92,600 almost. So, uh, Bitcoin has not seen that number just yet. But, uh, but personally, I do think we will see that number hit again. ▶ 13:25
• 85.8k: Target (Reven ribbons midline rejecting): 85 800 as kind of like a very very short-term target and then if things want to continue from there you know 83450 83500 uh is an area of interest. ▶ 15:18
• 84.6k: Target (second target of the short signal setup): target number two has not been hit. That is 84,569. ▶ 12:50
• 83.5k: Target (Reven ribbons midline rejecting): 85 800 as kind of like a very very short-term target and then if things want to continue from there you know 83450 83500 uh is an area of interest. ▶ 15:18
• 82k: Support (average open-to-low differential of about 5.7% points to a retest of the December lows): would basically put Bitcoin on a retest of the December lows at 82,000 bucks um and change. ▶ 11:41
• 72k: Target (average losing January of about 16% lands at the April low): put Bitcoin down around 72,000 bucks which is actually basically the low from April ▶ 03:24
• 60k: Target (yearly 9 EMA that price would revisit after a swing-high yearly close): line right here. That's a 9 EMA um on the yearly. So, that could rise up maybe somewhere around like 60,000 bucks ▶ 06:26

Their own position: Not said.