Here Is The Probability That Bitcoin Sees $100k+ before end of 2025

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; months went from expecting down to leaning down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): so that does keep the short-term bias to the downside, likely down to the bottom end of this blue box territory ▶ 01:47 The call was wrong: 87.4k when said, 89k on 30 Dec 2025 (+1.8%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): at minimum you're going to see like 94 and then I I still do think very very very very very likely we see low 100s. ▶ 05:35 Said again while their call of 7 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 89.6k when said, 93.6k on 6 Jan 2026 (+4.6%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I just think that this is going to likely be a trap but of course, I will be wrong ▶ 06:02 Said again while their call of 16 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 111.4k when said, 67.2k on 13 Feb 2026 (−39.7%).

If this, then that

• If daily close above the 89,500 midline, then no target given (next weeks): about 89,500. As long as we're below there, yes, that short-term time frame downside setup very likely plays out. But if you see any sort of a reversal with a daily closure above that number ▶ 03:09
• If any closure above the 94,000 top of the range, then 100k (next weeks): that 94,000 dollar target basically. So, any sort of closure above there, then yeah, I do think the the odds of seeing 100,000 dollars ▶ 04:18
• If Bitcoin reclaims the last major lower high at 107,500 on a higher time frame close, then no target given (next months): if Bitcoin can reclaim the last major lower high, which was 107,500. That's my line in the sand. Above there, I turn into crown runs with bulls. ▶ 06:08

Levels named

• 107.5k: Their view is wrong past this (last major lower high; reclaiming it flips the speaker bullish): reclaim the last major lower high, which was 107,500. That's my line in the sand. ▶ 06:09
• 107k: Target (CME 5-day HPDR median expected to be tested within about 10 days): the median as of right now, which is about just below 107, um is an area of interest. ▶ 10:09
• 92.6k: Target (Net Signals long setup target 1, just under 76% probability): just under 76% probability, which is 92,600 or so. ▶ 04:05
• 89.5k: Resistance (ribbon midline; below it the short setup plays out): And again, looking at the midline, which is now coming down to about 89,500. ▶ 03:08
• 84.6k: Their view is wrong past this (stop loss of the long setup): stop loss for this, aka the invalidation in which it gets confirmed to be a null, a null trade, a loser, is going to be 84,581. ▶ 02:26

Their own position: Not said.