🚨Bitcoin's Bounce Is Fading. The Downtrend Resumes While Stocks Hit Records.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; weeks went from expecting down to leaning down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): So, I'm looking for this one to at least test the 200 simple officially the lows of the week. ▶ 27:23 The call was right: 76.8k when said, 73.8k on 29 May 2026 (−3.9%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): So, it's just like an area of interest probably in June. I don't think this is going to happen all in uh in May. ▶ 25:12 Said again while their call of 28 Apr 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 76.1k when said, 72.9k on 28 May 2026 (−4.1%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): But as long as Bitcoin's below that midband again on a daily closing basis, I do have to just based on the system remain bearish. ▶ 21:50 Said again while their call of 27 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 66.1k when said, 60.8k on 27 Jun 2026 (−8.0%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I think probably this ends up being a macro low. That's just my personal opinion. Not validated just yet. ▶ 50:29 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin pops back above the 79200 invalidation level (midband), then no target given (next months): an invalidation at 79200 does mean if Bitcoin does pop back above there by some act of God, I will switch around my opinion. ▶ 21:28
• If Bitcoin trades back above 81,000, then no target given (this cycle): if Bitcoin trades back above 81,000 bucks, even at this point, I don't think it's going any lower. I'll put it this way. I would I would just be saying macro low in get ready for sideways and up ▶ 26:43

Levels named

• 79.2k: Their view is wrong past this (Revan ribbons midband on a daily close): an invalidation at 79200 does mean if Bitcoin does pop back above there by some act of God, I will switch around my opinion. ▶ 21:28
• 78.5k: Support (weekly close below last week's CME low confirms hidden bearish divergence): any sort of a weekly closure effectively below last week's low, which is 78,500, let's say, on CME. ▶ 22:53
• 73.8k: Support, expected to hold (50% retracement level): The 50% retracement level is 73800. I think you probably get a bounce here along the way. ▶ 24:58
• 71.5–71.6k: Target (618 retracement lining up with the expected HPDR median): personally that 618 at 71600 or 71500 correlates well with likely where I think the HPD is going to come into. ▶ 25:05
• 71k: Target (expected HPDR median after next week's adjustment): It's probably going to adjust up. If I had to guess, it's probably going to be like 71,000 and change. ▶ 24:40

Their own position: Short. still holding this short $83,000 uh call strike for Bitcoin buying at the end of June.