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🚨 Gold Is Failing. Bitcoin Isn't. The 2020 Rotation Is Starting Again

Krown · · 1:40:55 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $80,0294-hour candle close · 4 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $2,3504-hour candle close · 4 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks went from expecting up to leaning up; months moved sideways to down.

Views

  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): short-term does still show and suggest upside. I think it's still more probabistically likely. ▶ 20:36 Said again while their call of 1 May 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 78.4k when said, 73.7k on 31 May 2026 (−6.1%).
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): There very likely, in my opinion, is going to be a much deeper correction or much deeper correction. ▶ 20:22 Said again while their call of 27 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 66.1k when said, 60.8k on 27 Jun 2026 (−8.0%).
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): but is it also macro low? I'm absolutely open to the possibility of that. ▶ 27:41 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

Levels named

  • 87k: Target (Other): it's probably got a little bit more upside here, maybe all the way up close to like 87,000 bucks or so. ▶ 21:14
  • 85–86k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (where Bitcoin broke down in January; Fibonacci level and moving averages in the mid 80s): whether Bitcoin gets up to 85 whether it gets up to 86 I don't think it really makes that much of a difference but I am looking for around that region to likely push back on price action. ▶ 29:44
  • 83k: Target (third target of the setup, 48% historical hit probability): target number three now does come into view. And that one is just below 83,000 bucks. It does have a much lower probability at 48%. But I do uh I actually do think that that one will get hit with time. ▶ 10:45
  • 81k: Target (short liquidation levels stacked there): those short liquidation levels have moved up a little bit towards 81,000 bucks. So that is kind of where I'm looking for these next positions to come under real pressure. ▶ 22:45
  • 75.3k: Their view is wrong past this (next higher low used as a management point): basically we can look at that next higher low at 75300 as a nice management point. Meaning that as long as Bitcoin's above there, I'm happy to be bullish in the short and medium term. ▶ 20:42
  • 65–70k: Support (expected base after the rally fails, per his LAR lines): I do think that it does come back down to base somewhere around 65 to 70,000 bucks. ▶ 21:21

Their own position: No position; would buy at 65–70k. that's where I'm actually a buyer again, you know, if and if and when it does get back down around there.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: weeks moved waiting to up.

Views

  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I think you're probably going to get up to like 2,700 before this run is over and then probably back down. ▶ 1:36:07 The call was wrong: 2.35k when said, 1.84k on 3 Jun 2026 (−21.8%).

Levels named

  • 2.7k: Target (higher low and hidden bullish divergence): I think you're probably going to get up to like 2,700 before this run is over ▶ 1:36:07
  • 2.5k: Target (higher low and hidden bullish divergence): I do think you get another run up to like 2500 and you know where where does this run top off at? you know, maybe 27 um is kind of where I'd be looking towards. ▶ 1:35:54

Their own position: Not said.

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