Bitcoin Price Action LIVE - The New Moon

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; weeks went from expecting up to leaning up; cycle flipped down to up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: I do think that today will be a down close day. ▶ 27:10 The call was a draw: 89.7k when said, 90.3k on 13 Dec 2025 (+0.7%), under the 1% it takes to count.
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: with the high likelihood of a Bitcoin bounce into the deep 90s at some point probably later in December. ▶ 30:19 Said again while their call of 6 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 102k when said, 89.8k on 6 Dec 2025 (−12.0%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): perhaps Bitcoin comes down and fulfills, you know, a move into like the 60s or the 50s ▶ 39:36 Said again while their call of 16 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 111.4k when said, 67.2k on 13 Feb 2026 (−39.7%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): that's probably going to be your, you know, your cycle low and this thing's going to charge back up to the upside again ▶ 39:50 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin breaks above 93,800, then 100k (next weeks): if it if Bitcoin does break above 93,800, that actually does give us a technical target into the low $100,000 territory ▶ 31:07
• If Bitcoin breaks to the downside out of the ascending triangle, then 76k (next weeks): If Bitcoin does break to the downside, and here, you know, that would be pointed towards new lows at 76,000 bucks. ▶ 31:15

Levels named

• 97–103k: Target (monthly 5 EMA reconnect typically happens within the month): let's just say somewhere between like 97 to 103, something like that is like a good range of probabilities to fulfill that test as well. ▶ 35:19
• 100k: Target (HPDR median expected to reset lower, giving a mean reversion bounce target): I just tentatively say somewhere around 100,000 bucks give or take. ▶ 34:01
• 93.8k: Resistance (range high of the ascending triangle; a close above it would confirm the upside breakout): Range highs are 93,800 on the upside and range lows are basically these rising bottoms that we've seen from the late November dump ▶ 29:33
• 86k: Support (bottom side of the ascending triangle, where he would look for a bounce): somewhere around about 86,000 bucks. So, if you do see Bitcoin down around there, probably would be looking for a bounce on that next pass. ▶ 30:08
• 84k: Support (average losing-trade return of 8% on the Moons signal measured from the 92,000 open): 8% to the downside puts Bitcoin where that puts Bitcoin basically at around 84,000 bucks. ▶ 36:54

Their own position: Not said.