cryptoBitcoin Analysis Tool: Mean Reversion Index
Checkonchain · · 07:10 · Watch on YouTube
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BTC near publication: $68,8204-hour candle close · 27 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
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- This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading):
And at 60K, I'm very much in your camp, where I'm going to say the price paying capitulation bottom is in.
▶ 02:35 Said again while their call of 14 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 112.6k when said, 81.8k on 14 Oct 2026 (−27.3%).
Levels named
- 70k: Support (Below 70K is deep value on the mean reversion index (about Q20)):
So, the rationale there is below 70K, I'm calling it we're in deep value.
▶ 02:29 - 60k: Support, expected to hold (60K hit about Q10 on the nine-anchor mean reversion index, so he calls it the capitulation bottom):
60K is Q10. There's a 90% chance we want to go higher, 10% we go lower.
▶ 02:16 - 55k: Support (Previous bear market bottoms were around Q3 to Q5 on the mean reversion index, which would be about 55K):
All the previous bear market bottoms have been like a Q4 or a Q3 or a Q5. That's the kind of territory we're in. And that would be about 55K.
▶ 02:20
Their own position: Bought. I've been saying to my subscribers, my DCA campaign, just daily DCA, and anytime we get down to the low 60s, we're in that Q15, Q10, Q5 territory, I'm just buying slugs.