cryptobro

Checkonchain: predictions and track record

@checkonchain on YouTube · on-chain, analytics, Macro

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

What Checkonchain has said about where Bitcoin and Ether go next, read from their videos, and how those calls turned out when they came due. Records kept since .

Bitcoin

No current view: no video in the past 30 days.

Track record

  • Next days, graded after 7 days: No up or down call graded yet. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell.
  • Next weeks, graded after 30 days: No up or down call graded yet. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell.
  • Next months, graded after 4 months: 1 of 1 graded up or down calls right, sideways calls 1 of 1 right. Taking each of the 1 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 4 months, price moved +13% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −13%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 1 graded call came after price had already moved their way by more than 6.5% in the 4 months before: 1 of 1 right. That was every one.
  • This cycle, graded after 1 year: 0 of 1 graded up or down calls right. Taking each of the 1 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 1 year, price moved −27% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −27%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return.

Latest words per horizon

  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Waiting on a level, : it certainly helps to reinforce my view in the immediate term over the course of the next weeks to months, cautious, but aware that we haven't broken that first line of support. (the video's calls, watch at 51:43)
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways, : Every single cycle. Give this thing a couple more months of time pain, short-term cost basis will come down. (the video's calls, watch at 25:44)
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up, : I think this has the potential to initiate um the next wave of like not being a bear market. (the video's calls, watch at 09:16)

Every call, newest first

  • Next months: Sideways, said : right: 67.1k when said, 62.8k on 5 Jul 2026 (−6.4%). this is the chop consolidation range, more or less where I expect the price to hang out for some time, right? Probably on the order of months. (the video, watch at 30:02) Said again in 2 later videos while open.
  • Next months: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −41.4% in the 4 months before: right: 70.9k when said, 61.7k on 7 Jun 2026 (−13.0%). yes, there's probably some downside ahead of us, and we'll talk about what that looks like. (the video, watch at 23:10)
  • This cycle: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 112.6k when said, 81.8k on 14 Oct 2026 (−27.3%). Now, that doesn't mean that we go to 150 tomorrow, but it also means that there's kind of a fair value magnet in my mind up at 150. (the video, watch at 52:32) Said again in 5 later videos while open.

Every analyst's Bitcoin record

Ethereum

No current view: no video in the past 30 days.

Track record

  • Next days, graded after 7 days: No up or down call graded yet. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell.
  • Next weeks, graded after 30 days: No up or down call graded yet. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell.
  • Next months, graded after 4 months: No up or down call graded yet.
  • This cycle, graded after 1 year: No up or down call graded yet.

Every analyst's Ethereum record

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