Bitcoin's Signal Fired, Then Jobs Punched It. 239 Times, Here's What Happened Next.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved up to sideways; cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: Bitcoin might actually make a swipe at that. If it does happen, I'd be expecting it very early next week. ▶ 20:55 Said again while their call of 29 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 77.8k when said, 79.7k on 5 Sep 2026 (+2.3%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Sideways: I'm looking for Bitcoin to basically hold that range for the next week or two. ▶ 2:02:05 Said again while their call of 10 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 64.3k when said, 78.6k on 9 Sep 2026 (+22.2%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: and up to, you know, in about 3 months, we'd kind of be expecting around about 20 to 25%. ▶ 1:23:23 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Just want to let the bull market kind of work for me and uh and mostly just be hodling here to be honest with you. ▶ 49:09 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin starts to come back down and makes new lows after about day 10 of September, then no target given (next weeks): if Bitcoin really starts to come back down and make new lows, new lows, especially after like day number 10 of Septe of September, probably going to be a negative closing month. ▶ 54:28

Levels named

• 100.5k: Target (median 3-month return from the stochastic signal study): just above six digits right there at about $100,500. Again, that is a medium return. ▶ 28:15
• 85–90k: Target (median return after failed head and shoulders, about a month out): I would look at it as zone between about 85 to maybe as much as about 90,000, but ultimately somewhere around there. ▶ 19:42
• 83k: Resistance (top of the base, previous high): Bitcoin setting in a base between, you know, that $83,000 previous high and about 76,000 bucks to the downside right here. ▶ 33:37
• 76k: Support (bottom of the base Bitcoin has been building): Bitcoin setting in a base between, you know, that $83,000 previous high and about 76,000 bucks to the downside right here. ▶ 33:37
• 75–75.5k: Their view is wrong past this (break below the yellow 21 EMA is where he would cover his short puts): If and when Bitcoin breaks below that yellow 21 EMA, which is about 75,500, I'd even go as far to say just $75,000 even, I would cover that position. ▶ 1:14:02
• 74–74.5k: Support, expected to hold (expected low for September): I do not expect things below 74,000 or really 74,500. ▶ 22:51
• 73.3k: Support, expected to hold (377 EMA seen as the worst-case floor for the move): It's it's it's probably the floor for this move in like a worst case scenario, if you will. And right now that's about 73,300. ▶ 32:45
• 70k: Their view is wrong past this (major line in the sand; a break would force a reassessment): I still have a major line in the sand at about 70,000 even, which if if we do see below, I would invalidate everything, reassess ▶ 22:55

Their own position: Holding. Just want to let the bull market kind of work for me and uh and mostly just be hodling here to be honest with you.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: weeks moved up to sideways.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Sideways: I'd call it probably another week of sideways. Then maybe a uh a try to the upside, you know, ▶ 1:27:40 The call was right: 2.45k when said, 2.7k on 4 Oct 2026 (+10.1%).

Levels named

• 2.4k: Support (consolidation above 2400 seen as overall good): I still look at a consolidation, especially above 2400 as overall good. ▶ 1:27:05

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• FOMC meeting in mid-September, undated: We got FOMC plus of course, more importantly, you have the quad witching event, which is probably where things start to get maybe a little bit more exciting.
• Quad witching in mid-September, undated: We got FOMC plus of course, more importantly, you have the quad witching event, which is probably where things start to get maybe a little bit more exciting.
• Jobs report on 4 Sep 2026: Bitcoin coming down today on the old uh Fed. No, not the Fed news, but the jobs report news or whatever