Everyone Sees Bitcoin's Head and Shoulders. I Measured All 13 Since 2011.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved down to sideways; weeks went from leaning up to expecting up; cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Sideways (timeframe is our reading): I do think that Bitcoin trades a little bit sideways and down. I think that that's just a little more likely as of right now. ▶ 30:05 The call was right: 77.3k when said, 78.6k on 9 Sep 2026 (+1.7%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects up: from there a grind up into the midpoint of September where you got FOMC and more importantly the quad witching date that is when I do expect Bitcoin to kind of like you know peak more or less for September ▶ 23:46 Said again while their call of 19 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 68.6k when said, 80.7k on 18 Sep 2026 (+17.8%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up: If I fast forward out 1 year, 2 year, 3 year, 5 years, I'm expecting a better return with a high probability. ▶ 1:22:25 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Daily close below the 75,600 neckline completes the head and shoulders, then 71.7k (next weeks): I would mark the neckline right here at 75600. 35600 that is um if you do complete below there on a daily dildo closing basis then the implied move yes would be down to 71,700 ▶ 19:27
• If Head and shoulders fails: Bitcoin pops back above 79,400 on a daily close, then 85k (next weeks, by within a month): above 79,400, let's call it, on a daily closed basis. If that does happen, then yes, the median return for that failure move is going to put Bitcoin somewhere around a little bit above 85,000 bucks. ▶ 23:15
• If Daily stochastic turns up while the 5-day stochastic is already up, above the 200 SMA, then no target given (next months): historically speaking, that setup in combination with each other, 3 months later has returned, you know, a medium return of over 28%. ▶ 25:19
• If Bitcoin reclaims the bottom of upper band one on a daily close on CME, then no target given (next days): if it can at 78,230 on a daily closing basis on CME? Then you probably have your first major warning flag that Bitcoin actually will reverse ▶ 29:54
• If 5 EMA crosses the 21 EMA on the 12-hour chart, then 73k (next days): But if we do see that cross, then yes, I'd look for the 55 EMA here to get hit. Right now, it's at 73,000 bucks. ▶ 28:57

Levels named

• 150k: Target (planned selling zone if this is a new cycle): I'm going to sell on uh you know, little bit above there around like 135 and then another and then another lot at 150. ▶ 1:25:09
• 135k: Target (planned selling zone if this is a new cycle): I'm going to sell on uh you know, little bit above there around like 135 and then another and then another lot at 150. ▶ 1:25:09
• 85–85.5k: Target (median 7.5% return after a failed head and shoulders): that would put Bitcoin, I believe, at 85,000 bucks, which is uh it was 7 and a half, right? You know, 7 and a half, which 85500 actually. ▶ 22:38
• 80k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (market maker options range high into the September 11 expiration): that would give us a range high at about 80,000 bucks meaning that I I really don't expect higher than there uh you know by that date ▶ 26:48
• 79.4k: Their view is wrong past this (top of the right shoulder; a close above it invalidates the head and shoulders): close above the top side of the right shoulder which is 79,391 ▶ 21:57
• 74.5k: Support (Rubber Bands indicator midband): The Revan ribbons midband is coming in where it's coming in at 74,452 ▶ 30:13
• 74k: Support, expected to hold (market maker options range low into the September 11 expiration): and to the downside below 74,000 bucks again don't really expect a low there around you know before that date as well ▶ 26:52
• 70k: Support (line in the sand for the rally): 70,000 bucks is kind of my line in the sand for, you know, as long as Bitcoin's above there. I have zero worries about this rally. ▶ 20:00

Their own position: Bought. We're going to buy 100 derps of bitcoins right here. Sorry, not 200, but 100.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): do I think come down to like 23ish 2,300ish uh is what I mean. Um definitely possible there. ▶ 1:37:27 Said again while their call of 26 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 2.45k when said, 2.39k on 2 Sep 2026 (−2.4%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): as long as it's closing weekly above 2400 especially I do think it's in a strong position I do think that it will break out. ▶ 1:37:36 Said again while their call of 21 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 19 Dec 2026, against 2.39k when said.

Levels named

• 2.4k: Support (weekly close above keeps the setup strong): as long as it's closing weekly above 2400 especially I do think it's in a strong position I do think that it will break out. ▶ 1:37:36
• 2.3k: Their view is wrong past this (weekly close below means the setup fails): if it is going to fail, you're going to see a weekly closure basically below, let's call it like 2,300. ▶ 1:38:06

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• FOMC, two days before quad witching, undated: Wednesday the 14th of September. That is when you got the FOMC, which is actually 2 days before the quad witching.
• September 11 options expiration on 11 Sep 2026: fast forward to the September 11th expiration here, we can forecast the sort of range that market makers are expecting by that date.