cryptobro

Alessio Rastani: predictions and track record

@alessiorastani on YouTube · Charts

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

What Alessio Rastani has said about where Bitcoin and Ether go next, read from their videos, and how those calls turned out when they came due. Records kept since .

Bitcoin

Says now: Next months: Leans up · This cycle: Leans down.

Track record

  • Next days, graded after 7 days: No up or down call graded yet. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell.
  • Next weeks, graded after 30 days: 3 of 6 graded up or down calls right, 2 draws. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell; score so far 50. Taking each of the 6 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 30 days, price moved +2% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −43%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 3 graded calls came after price had already moved their way by more than 2.5% in the 30 days before: 1 of 3 right. The other 3: 2 of 3 right.
  • Next months, graded after 4 months: 0 of 1 graded up or down calls right, 1 call still open. Taking each of the 1 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 4 months, price moved −43% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −43%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return.
  • This cycle, graded after 1 year: 0 of 1 graded up or down calls right, 1 call still open. Taking each of the 1 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 1 year, price moved −29% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −29%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return.

Latest words per horizon

  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up, : as long as Bitcoin can remain above support, there's potential here for bulls to extend this further higher. (the video's calls, watch at 04:39)
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up, : this B-wave rally could potentially take us all the way to the end of this year, maybe even to next year, 2027. (the video's calls, watch at 05:16)
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down, : there is a probability eventually by the end of next year 2027, we might see Bitcoin down below 60K or indeed the lows we made. (the video's calls, watch at 04:18)

Every call, newest first

  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +8.9% in the 30 days before: wrong: 84.6k when said, 78.1k on 2 Nov 2026 (−7.6%). as long as Bitcoin can remain above support, there's potential here for bulls to extend this further higher. (the video, watch at 04:39)
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said , after price had already moved +17.7% in the 30 days before: right: 77.1k when said, 84.9k on 21 Sep 2026 (+10.1%). the 50 simple moving average, which in the next few weeks could merge with the levels of about 80k to 78k range. (the video, watch at 04:01)
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said , after price had already moved +5.6% in the 30 days before: a draw: 64.4k when said, 65k on 9 Aug 2026 (+0.8%), under the 2.5% it takes to count. So, there's a potential move that may happen in the next several weeks towards 70k, maybe just above that. (the video, watch at 05:54)
  • Next months: Up, tentatively, said : open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64.4k when said. Maybe in the 70k to 75k range if we get there in the next several months. (the video, watch at 06:49) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +7.3% in the 30 days before: a draw: 75.6k when said, 76.7k on 19 May 2026 (+1.5%), under the 2.5% it takes to count. And it looks like that the the trend and the path of least resistance is the upside for now. (the video, watch at 08:56)
  • Next weeks: Down, tentatively, said : wrong: 67k when said, 68.8k on 7 Apr 2026 (+2.7%). I think that in the next few weeks or the next several weeks, I think we could see, even if this bounce continues (the video, watch at 03:13)
  • Next weeks: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 86.5k when said, 64.4k on 24 Feb 2026 (−25.5%). given the fact that it's broken support at the moment the probabilities are increasing that Bitcoin could potentially now move to new lows (the video, watch at 03:07) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • This cycle: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): open until 25 Jan 2027, against 86.5k when said. so it appears at the moment that a repeat of 2022 and 2018. In other words, a potential bearish picture or bare market picture is at the moment gaining probability (the video, watch at 04:01) Said again in 2 later videos while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said , after price had already moved +8.4% in the 30 days before: wrong: 94.6k when said, 69.1k on 15 Feb 2026 (−26.9%). And by the way, I think that's going to happen in the next several weeks. I think likely as we enter 2026, perhaps in the beginning of 2026, we may very well see some kind of a strong bounce or rally towards the weekly 21 EMA (the video, watch at 02:02) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said : right: 84.7k when said, 88k on 31 Dec 2025 (+3.9%). in the next uh several weeks, probably by the end of the year, maybe going to next year uh January, I think we're going to see Bitcoin eventually catching up, moving back. (the video, watch at 14:24) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next months: Up, tentatively, said : wrong: 114.4k when said, 65.4k on 25 Feb 2026 (−42.8%). personally, I think that in the next several months, either by the end of this year or going into next year, Bitcoin could likely move into the 140 K to 150 K range and perhaps even higher. (the video, watch at 03:30) Said again in 4 later videos while open.
  • This cycle: Up, firmly, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 114.4k when said, 81.3k on 28 Oct 2026 (−28.9%). I don't think Bitcoin is topped for the long term. I think we still have another higher high to go. (the video, watch at 02:39) Said again in 5 later videos while open.

Every analyst's Bitcoin record

Ethereum

No current view: no video in the past 30 days.

Track record

  • Next days, graded after 7 days: No up or down call graded yet. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell.
  • Next weeks, graded after 30 days: No up or down call graded yet. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell.
  • Next months, graded after 4 months: No up or down call graded yet.
  • This cycle, graded after 1 year: No up or down call graded yet, 1 call still open.

Latest words per horizon

  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up, : the probability that Bitcoin and Ethereum have bottomed out and are ready to begin a new uptrend for these crypto assets has increased. (the video's calls, watch at 01:25)

Every call, newest first

  • This cycle: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): open until 26 Sep 2027, against 2.69k when said. the probability that Bitcoin and Ethereum have bottomed out and are ready to begin a new uptrend for these crypto assets has increased. (the video, watch at 01:25)

Every analyst's Ethereum record

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