cryptobro

Satoshi Stacker: predictions and track record

@stackersatoshi on YouTube · Charts, Macro · 7 videos with calls taken off YouTube since we read them

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

What Satoshi Stacker has said about where Bitcoin and Ether go next, read from their videos, and how those calls turned out when they came due. Records kept since .

Bitcoin

Says now: Next weeks: Leans down · Next months: Leans up · This cycle: Expects up.

Track record

  • Next days, graded after 7 days: 9 of 18 graded up or down calls right, 2 draws, sideways calls 4 of 5 right, 1 call still open. Grade C, coin flip (score 50). Taking each of the 18 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 7 days, price moved +5% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made +48%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 8 graded calls came after price had already moved their way by more than 1% in the 7 days before: 3 of 8 right. The other 10: 6 of 10 right.
  • Next weeks, graded after 30 days: 3 of 6 graded up or down calls right, 1 draw, sideways calls 2 of 4 right, 2 calls still open. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell; score so far 46. Taking each of the 6 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 30 days, price moved −6% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made +38%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 5 graded calls came after price had already moved their way by more than 2.5% in the 30 days before: 3 of 5 right. The other 1: 0 of 1 right.
  • Next months, graded after 4 months: 2 of 2 graded up or down calls right, 1 draw, sideways calls 1 of 1 right, 2 calls still open. Score 58; this horizon is not graded. Taking each of the 2 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 4 months, price moved +75% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −9%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. The one graded call did not come after price had already moved their way by more than 6.5% in the 4 months before.
  • This cycle, graded after 1 year: 0 of 1 graded up or down calls right, 1 call still open. Taking each of the 1 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 1 year, price moved −29% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −29%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return.

Latest words per horizon

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Sideways, : In fact, I do think that there's a decent chance that Bitcoin is going to hold 76,500. (the video's calls, watch at 01:08)
  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down, : then Bitcoin could see a bit of a drop here before potentially bottoming. (the video's calls, watch at 11:04)
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up, : potentially we could go down a little bit lower until we see a recovery and we go up. (the video's calls, watch at 11:21)
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up, : And um and by the way I still believe the bottom is in here here at uh 58. (the video's calls, watch at 11:11)

Every call, newest first

  • Next days: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): open until 7 Nov 2026, against 77.4k when said. In fact, I do think that there's a decent chance that Bitcoin is going to hold 76,500. (the video, watch at 01:08)
  • Next months: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +25.3% in the 4 months before: open until 28 Feb 2027, against 77.4k when said. potentially we could go down a little bit lower until we see a recovery and we go up. (the video, watch at 11:21)
  • This cycle: Up, firmly, said (timeframe is our reading): open until 31 Oct 2027, against 77.4k when said. And um and by the way I still believe the bottom is in here here at uh 58. (the video, watch at 11:11)
  • Next weeks: Down, firmly, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −5.2% in the 30 days before: open until 25 Nov 2026, against 79.6k when said. and to be honest right now I do think that we are going to go down towards 76,688 (the video, watch at 01:24) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 81k when said, 77.2k on 31 Oct 2026 (−4.7%). that were telling us that we could start going down towards this level at 76,700 again (the video, watch at 01:23) Said again in 2 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 82.2k when said, 79.9k on 29 Oct 2026 (−2.9%). things are still looking pretty decent and we can still close above $82,700 here and keep the market structure intact and then, you know, find support here and then propel again towards $88,000. (the video, watch at 02:22)
  • Next days: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 82.8k when said, 82k on 18 Oct 2026 (−1.0%). So we will probably see a little bit of a consolidation here at the uh support level that I have here the orange line at 82,700 (the video, watch at 01:14)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said : wrong: 83k when said, 81.5k on 15 Oct 2026 (−1.8%). I still think that we could find support here just like we are seeing right now and see some more momentum towards the upside (the video, watch at 02:18)
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said , after price had already moved +6.9% in the 30 days before: open until 5 Nov 2026, against 85.5k when said. Bit of hit and miss the first few days and then typically we do see a move towards the upside. (the video, watch at 06:07) Said again in 2 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +1.5% in the 7 days before: right: 83k when said, 86.3k on 5 Oct 2026 (+4.0%). I believe that it is going to hold and that we're going to see higher prices in the short term. (the video, watch at 01:39)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 84.5k when said, 83.4k on 1 Oct 2026 (−1.3%). I think that yes, it's likely that we can come down here to 81,800, make this support just like you saw right here (the video, watch at 01:57) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said , after price had already moved +21.9% in the 30 days before: right: 77.7k when said, 84.6k on 3 Oct 2026 (+8.9%). If this pattern continues, if this repeats, then in 1 month time, time-wise, we are going to go on a run towards the upside. (the video, watch at 03:42) Said again in 5 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −1.8% in the 7 days before: wrong: 77.5k when said, 79.3k on 9 Sep 2026 (+2.3%). So, Bitcoin can go down, we can have stocks going down. In fact, you're already seeing this short-term. (the video, watch at 06:21) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 78.2k when said, 83.3k on 30 Sep 2026 (+6.5%). Maybe red September, but I think it's mostly going to be flat. (the video, watch at 10:45)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +13.3% in the 7 days before: wrong: 79.1k when said, 77.7k on 3 Sep 2026 (−1.8%). I think that this green candle is going to continue and we're going to retest $81,700. (the video, watch at 01:41)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 64.3k when said, 78.9k on 26 Aug 2026 (+22.8%). I think that there's a decent chance that we're going to stay above this point, and then we can see if we can gather some more momentum. (the video, watch at 01:06)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −2.7% in the 7 days before: wrong: 63.1k when said, 76k on 23 Aug 2026 (+20.5%). I would say it's like 60% that we see a leg downwards, potentially down to 61 here, potentially down to 59. (the video, watch at 06:12)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): a draw: 64.1k when said, 64.2k on 18 Aug 2026 (+0.2%), under the 1% it takes to count. Could buy here and then ride it towards first 64,300, and then potentially a push towards 66,700. (the video, watch at 01:26)
  • Next weeks: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 63.7k when said, 77.7k on 3 Sep 2026 (+21.9%). However, we could still have some ways to go lower before many of these ones turns dark blue. (the video, watch at 08:04) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +7.6% in the 30 days before: right: 64.6k when said, 79.7k on 28 Aug 2026 (+23.4%). The video has since been taken off YouTube. So maybe this is the calm before the storm and it is bound to happen. (the video, watch at 10:49) Said again in 4 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 65.5k when said, 64k on 31 Jul 2026 (−2.4%). The video has since been taken off YouTube. Looking like we're consolidating between these these two uh lines here 64,400 and 66,800. (the video, watch at 00:54)
  • Next months: Sideways, said : open until 18 Nov 2026, against 66.2k when said. The video has since been taken off YouTube. yeah, we're in a bottoming period. It could take a month, two months, 3 months. Let's see. (the video, watch at 03:23) Said again in 2 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +2.6% in the 7 days before: right: 64.5k when said, 65.8k on 22 Jul 2026 (+2.0%). So, that's great. So, this looks like it wants to continue to push higher here. (the video, watch at 01:10)
  • Next days: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 62.6k when said, 64.2k on 11 Jul 2026 (+2.5%). So, what I think is going to happen here is that we can go sideways a little bit here. (the video, watch at 01:47)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 60.1k when said, 63k on 9 Jul 2026 (+4.7%). Let's see if we can push here and close above this orange line and make a push towards $63,000, this orange box. (the video, watch at 12:10)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −6.2% in the 7 days before: wrong: 60.2k when said, 63k on 5 Jul 2026 (+4.6%). And you can see that currently, unless we see a big bounce today, we are likely to close below the green line. (the video, watch at 01:41)
  • Next weeks: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 61.9k when said, 64k on 25 Jul 2026 (+3.4%). I do think it is likely that Bitcoin is going to consolidate for a bit between 57,500 and 63,500 basically between these orange boxes. (the video, watch at 01:45) Said again in 2 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 65.5k when said, 62.7k on 24 Jun 2026 (−4.4%). The markets are looking like Bitcoin sideways. We need to be prepared for volatility of course (the video, watch at 11:15) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −22.4% in the 30 days before: a draw: 62.7k when said, 64.2k on 11 Jul 2026 (+2.3%), under the 2.5% it takes to count. This typically leads into continuation. So $58,000 is still in the cards here. (the video, watch at 01:26) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next months: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 63.2k when said, 84.1k on 7 Oct 2026 (+33.1%). the number one way for micro strategy to get out of this mess is if bitcoin sees a massive pump which I think is going to happen (the video, watch at 06:54) Said again in 22 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −4.5% in the 7 days before: a draw: 77.2k when said, 76.7k on 26 May 2026 (−0.7%), under the 1% it takes to count. pretty much expecting us to go down lower, and I will add more right here. (the video, watch at 01:31)
  • Next days: Up, firmly, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +1.3% in the 7 days before: wrong: 80.7k when said, 77.1k on 18 May 2026 (−4.5%). Higher highs, higher lows, bullish trend continues for Bitcoin. (the video, watch at 01:24)
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +13.9% in the 30 days before: wrong: 77.1k when said, 73.5k on 29 May 2026 (−4.6%). Overall, still happy with the current state. We're still in a short-term bullish trend towards the upside. (the video, watch at 09:28)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 74.6k when said, 77.7k on 24 Apr 2026 (+4.2%). on the balance of probabilities, it's pretty likely that we're going to see some kind of pullback reaction, kind of like what you saw right here. (the video, watch at 02:31)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said : right: 68.7k when said, 71.6k on 8 Apr 2026 (+4.3%). They're going to cause it to rally, probably Bitcoin into the orange box here, maybe even further. (the video, watch at 12:48)
  • Next weeks: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 67.4k when said, 76.2k on 30 Apr 2026 (+13.1%). We have this downwards trend still intact here. So, Bitcoin still consolidating in between these two orange boxes. (the video, watch at 01:05) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next days: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 70.7k when said, 66.6k on 28 Mar 2026 (−5.9%). We have not taken out the previous low, so I'm expecting this to go sideways for a little bit longer (the video, watch at 01:00)
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +5.2% in the 30 days before: right: 70.7k when said, 74.8k on 20 Apr 2026 (+5.8%). but then eventually I do think we're going to break through this and take out this previous high and go towards top side. (the video, watch at 01:06) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 67.3k when said, 71.5k on 15 Mar 2026 (+6.1%). But yes, this is looking a little bit short-term concerning here for Bitcoin. (the video, watch at 01:10)
  • Next months: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −34.2% in the 4 months before: a draw: 67.3k when said, 63.1k on 6 Jul 2026 (−6.3%), under the 6.5% it takes to count. although I would not be surprised for Bitcoin to see some lower prices before we start to have a massive pump towards top side. (the video, watch at 12:24) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 68.1k when said, 65k on 25 Feb 2026 (−4.5%). we need to be prepared also for more volatility potentially towards the downside (the video, watch at 07:41)
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +3.3% in the 30 days before: wrong: 92.5k when said, 76.5k on 4 Feb 2026 (−17.3%). Now, we haven't reached there just yet, but I believe that we are going to reach this. (the video, watch at 01:09)
  • Next months: Sideways, said : right: 87.9k when said, 70.1k on 26 Mar 2026 (−20.3%). sideways. It's going to take a while because there's a lot of resistance now above us. There's a lot of resistance and I do believe that it's going to take a few months at least. (the video, watch at 06:12) Said again in 2 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −8.1% in the 7 days before: right: 101.9k when said, 96.1k on 16 Nov 2025 (−5.7%). that would suggest that it's more likely that we're going to see another leg down here to $94,000. (the video, watch at 01:51)
  • Next weeks: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 109.4k when said, 91k on 30 Nov 2025 (−16.9%). So what this means is that we're going to consolidate probably for a little bit while longer and then we are going to (the video, watch at 01:14)
  • Next months: Down, tentatively, said : right: 109.4k when said, 63.8k on 28 Feb 2026 (−41.7%). that would suggest that we're going to go down during the next two months for traditional markets, which also probably going to mean that Bitcoin is going to go down. (the video, watch at 07:34)
  • This cycle: Up, firmly, said : wrong: 109.4k when said, 77.4k on 31 Oct 2026 (−29.3%). I believe ultimately in the next year we are going to see some massive massive gains. (the video, watch at 08:03) Said again in 63 later videos while open.

Every analyst's Bitcoin record

Ethereum

Says now: Next weeks: Leans down · This cycle: Expects up.

Track record

  • Next days, graded after 7 days: 1 of 1 graded up or down calls right, 2 draws, sideways calls 1 of 2 right, 1 call still open. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell. Taking each of the 1 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 7 days, price moved +2% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −2%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 1 graded call came after price had already moved their way by more than 1.5% in the 7 days before: 1 of 1 right. That was every one.
  • Next weeks, graded after 30 days: 1 of 3 graded up or down calls right, sideways calls 1 of 1 right, 1 call still open. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell; score so far 50. Taking each of the 3 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 30 days, price moved +8% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made +8%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 2 graded calls came after price had already moved their way by more than 4% in the 30 days before: 1 of 2 right. The other 1: 0 of 1 right.
  • Next months, graded after 4 months: No up or down call graded yet, 1 call still open.
  • This cycle, graded after 1 year: No up or down call graded yet, 1 call still open.

Latest words per horizon

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down, : also same thing here. We look like we want to continue to trend down towards 2,200. (the video's calls, watch at 01:34)
  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down, : We have broken down from the support level. I do see it as likely that we are going to approach 2,200 here as well. (the video's calls, watch at 06:20)
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up, : But zooming out longterm, midterm, things are still looking pretty decent. (the video's calls, watch at 15:27)
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up, : So, same thing for these ones though. I'm still buying the dip here with these. (the video's calls, watch at 04:21)

Every call, newest first

  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −4.9% in the 7 days before: open until 5 Nov 2026, against 2.31k when said. also same thing here. We look like we want to continue to trend down towards 2,200. (the video, watch at 01:34)
  • Next weeks: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −14.3% in the 30 days before: open until 25 Nov 2026, against 2.3k when said. We have broken down from the support level. I do see it as likely that we are going to approach 2,200 here as well. (the video, watch at 06:20)
  • Next weeks: Up, firmly, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +8.3% in the 30 days before: wrong: 2.68k when said, 2.24k on 31 Oct 2026 (−16.2%). So for Ethereum also I am expecting us to go up to 2,853. (the video, watch at 02:41)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +2.4% in the 7 days before: a draw: 2.69k when said, 2.68k on 3 Oct 2026 (−0.4%), under the 1.5% it takes to count. resting on the support level and then finding new momentum to go towards the upside. (the video, watch at 01:36) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said , after price had already moved +9.2% in the 30 days before: right: 1.92k when said, 2.49k on 7 Sep 2026 (+30.0%). I believe that during the next few weeks and months, getting into our position slowly, I believe that we're going to see higher prices for crypto. (the video, watch at 02:49) Said again in 3 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +3.7% in the 7 days before: a draw: 1.9k when said, 1.89k on 31 Jul 2026 (−0.3%), under the 1.5% it takes to count. The video has since been taken off YouTube. Ethereum is maintaining its uptrend towards higher prices here and uh looking decent. (the video, watch at 01:51)
  • Next months: Up, firmly, said : open until 4 Nov 2026, against 1.77k when said. overall over the next 6 12 24 months I believe that we are going to go higher for assets in general. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana (the video, watch at 08:49) Said again in 3 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 1.73k when said, 1.58k on 28 Jun 2026 (−9.0%). Uh but for Ethereum you can see same things. Ethereum is going sideways here. (the video, watch at 02:22)
  • This cycle: Up, firmly, said (timeframe is our reading): open until 15 Jun 2027, against 1.72k when said. Long-term, I still think Bitcoin, Ethereum is going to do incredibly well, but right now with the volatility we're seeing (the video, watch at 01:53) Said again in 4 later videos while open.
  • Next days: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 1.66k when said, 1.7k on 19 Jun 2026 (+2.0%). You can see Ethereum has not been doing anything in particular here. Just following the trend here, sideways action. (the video, watch at 01:35)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −6.7% in the 7 days before: right: 2.14k when said, 2.1k on 26 May 2026 (−2.1%). Traditional markets also having a bit of a pullback. Looks like this wants to go down a bit lower, guys. (the video, watch at 02:12)
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 2.33k when said, 2.18k on 17 May 2026 (−6.2%). This is looking like it wants to push higher, though, after the consolidation. (the video, watch at 03:50)
  • Next weeks: Sideways, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 2.06k when said, 2.26k on 30 Apr 2026 (+9.9%). Same thing for Ethereum, you're seeing consolidation. Same thing for Solana. (the video, watch at 01:16)

Every analyst's Ethereum record

Recent videos