Every Bitcoin Head and Shoulders That Mattered Broke One Line First.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved sideways to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I think that there's still a potential for a little bit of a down swipe here. ▶ 02:52 Said again while their call of 29 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 77.8k when said, 79.7k on 5 Sep 2026 (+2.3%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects up: from there, a grind up into the midpoint of September where you got FOMC and more importantly, the quad witching date. ▶ 12:05 Said again while their call of 19 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 68.6k when said, 80.7k on 18 Sep 2026 (+17.8%).

If this, then that

• If Daily close below the head and shoulders neckline, then 71.7k (next weeks): I would mark the neckline right here at 75 600 75 600 that is. If you do complete below there on a daily dildo closing basis then the implied move yes would be down at 71,700 ▶ 07:48
• If Head and shoulders fails: Bitcoin pops back above the right shoulder on a daily close, then 85k (next weeks, by within a month): pop back above 79,400, let's call it, on a daily close basis. If if that does happen, then yes, the median return for that failure move is going to put Bitcoin somewhere around a little bit above 85,000 bucks. ▶ 11:33
• If Daily stochastic turns up and combines with the 5-day stochastic already up, then no target given (next months, by 3 months later): historically speaking, that setup in combination with each other 3 months later has returned a a you know, a median return of over 28%. ▶ 13:39
• If Bitcoin reclaims the bottom of upper band one on a daily close on CME, then no target given (next days): can Bitcoin actually reclaim the bottom end of the upper band one? If it can at 78,230 on a daily closing basis on CME, then you probably have your first major warning flag that Bitcoin actually will reverse ▶ 18:12
• If 12-hour 5 EMA crosses below the 21 EMA, then 73k (next days): But if we do see that cross, then yes, I'd look for the 55 EMA here to get hit. Right now it's at 73,000 bucks. ▶ 17:17

Levels named

• 80k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (market maker options range high by Sept 11 expiry): that would give us a range high at about 80,000 bucks, meaning that I I really don't expect higher than there, uh you know, by that date. ▶ 15:06
• 79.4k: Their view is wrong past this (top of right shoulder; close above fails the pattern): close above the top side of the right shoulder, which is 79,391. ▶ 10:16
• 78.2k: Resistance (bottom of upper band one on rubber band ribbons): If it can at 78,230 on a daily closing basis on CME, then you probably have your first major warning flag ▶ 18:15
• 75.6k: Support (head and shoulders neckline): I would mark the neckline right here at 75 600 75 600 that is. ▶ 07:48
• 75.5k: Target (median September open-to-low dip of 3.5%): realistically we start to hit those numbers at 75,500. ▶ 02:50
• 74k: Support, expected to hold (market maker options range low by Sept 11 expiry): And to the downside below 74,000 bucks, again, don't really expect below there around, you know, before that date as well ▶ 15:11
• 73k: Target (12-hour 55 EMA as corrective target): I'd look for the 55 EMA here to get hit. Right now it's at 73,000 bucks. ▶ 17:20
• 71.7k: Target (implied move of head and shoulders): the implied move yes would be down at 71,700 ▶ 07:55
• 70k: Support (line in the sand for the rally): 70,000 bucks is kind of my line in the sand for you know as long as Bitcoin is above there I have zero worries about this rally. ▶ 08:19

Their own position: Bought. it is time for me to do my daily DCA, put my money where my mouth is.

Dates named

• FOMC meeting in mid-September, undated: Wednesday the 14th of September. That is when you got the FOMC, which is actually 2 days before the quad witching.
• Quad witching in mid-September, undated: Wednesday the 14th of September. That is when you got the FOMC, which is actually 2 days before the quad witching.
• September 11 options expiration on 11 Sep 2026: if we fast forward to the September 11th expiration here, we can forecast the sort of range that market makers are expecting by that date.