The Bitcoin Macro Low Is Now Official. Here's What the Next 6 Months Pay.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: yes, I do think that Bitcoin has more downside to open up this month. I do think that Bitcoin probably at least comes down to 76,000 bucks ▶ 09:12 Said again while their call of 29 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 77.8k when said, 79.7k on 5 Sep 2026 (+2.3%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): And if these stats hold up, then I'd expect the next higher low there ultimately. ▶ 14:00 Said again while their call of 19 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 68.6k when said, 80.7k on 18 Sep 2026 (+17.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: Bitcoin getting to six digits before end of year is not sounding that crazy anymore, I think. ▶ 06:44 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up: What that looks like on the chart right here is of course all previous macro lows already being in and Bitcoin getting ready for you know multi-year upside. ▶ 04:17 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If September closes about 3.5% above current levels, completing a quarterly bullish engulfing on the Bitcoin versus Yen chart, then no target given (next months): I'd be looking for Q4 to get somewhere around those previous highs, you know, back in the six digits. ▶ 17:38

Levels named

• 98k: Target (Median return after alignment of higher time frame stochastic momentum oscillators): Um into end of September is like kind of what's a likely area of interest to be aware of and that would be around about 98,000 bucks in change, let's say, somewhere around there. ▶ 06:33
• 74–76k: Target (Typical dip depth in green Septembers, options-implied range and max pain near 76,000): I do think that Bitcoin probably at least comes down to 76,000 bucks and perhaps as low as, you know, 74-ish, somewhere around in there. ▶ 09:13
• 74k: Support (Monthly 5 EMA seen as a basing area): You'll even notice that the monthly 5 EMA is around about 74,000-ish. So, you know, I do look at that as a bit of a basing area. ▶ 09:27
• 73.8k: Support (Mid band of the Raven Ribbons indicator on the daily, expected to bounce on first pass): which is 73,822. You can imagine that probably rises up to about 74,000 ish over the next few days. ▶ 13:47
• 73.6k: Support (Open of June; he doesn't expect price to go below it): The open of June? Probably not. Uh, at 73,600. I you know, I I I I suddenly get a wick lower, but, you know, fair enough. ▶ 16:52
• 71.7k: Support (Pivot to keep upside momentum on the monthly stochastic momentum oscillator): the new pivot to remain with upside momentum on the monthly stochastic momentum oscillator is 71,720. ▶ 04:50
• 70k: Their view is wrong past this (Below this the macro-low thesis is invalidated): if you do see Bitcoin from this point on below 70,000 bucks, let's say, just cuz it's nice round even number two that, you know, that is easy to remember. Uh if you do see Bitcoin below that number, that would invalidate ▶ 03:16

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. I'm going to be buying 100 bucks, 100 USDC's of the old corns, and we're going to buy that below market right now.

Dates named

• Jobs report on 4 Sep 2026: Friday we do have a job support coming out. Kind of would make sense if we did get a move on that date.
• FOMC mid-September, undated: But we have FOMC plus we got quad witching. So that very likely does you know produce the turn of the month if there is going to be a turn.
• Quad witching mid-September, undated: But we have FOMC plus we got quad witching. So that very likely does you know produce the turn of the month if there is going to be a turn.