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Bitcoin Price Action LIVE - The New Year Setup

Krown · · 1:30:35 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $87,6924-hour candle close · 29 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $2,9364-hour candle close · 29 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

Views

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): for right now, you know, bias is to the downside still. Whether it goes to 854, whether it goes to 835, I don't know, but probably somewhere in that pocket there. ▶ 26:56 Said again while their call of 23 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 87.4k when said, 89k on 30 Dec 2025 (+1.8%).
  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): with volatility low like this and the HPO turning up like this I am still biased on a bounce you know out of this region ▶ 29:26 Said again while their call of 7 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 89.6k when said, 93.6k on 6 Jan 2026 (+4.6%).
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): There's many reasons to believe on the higher term time frames that things will roll over from there to be honest with you. ▶ 27:38 Said again while their call of 16 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 111.4k when said, 67.2k on 13 Feb 2026 (−39.7%).
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): You know it's got to come down after that and create a swing low which obviously is going to be much lower than whatever low we had for this year which is 74400. ▶ 30:45 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 124.2k when said, 86.2k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.6%).

If this, then that

  • If Bitcoin reclaims this morning's rejection high at 90,328, then no target given (next weeks): this morning's rejection at 90,328 is a very, very important high. Meaning that if Bitcoin can reclaim that, we do have the early signal validated for a reversal here. ▶ 28:07
  • If Bitcoin reclaims the 107,500 line in the sand for declaring a reversal, then no target given (next months): we still have our line in the sand for declaring a reversal on Bitcoin, which at that point, you know, it's just bullish. Just looking towards prior highs and new highs, but that's 107500. ▶ 29:47

Levels named

  • 107.5k: Resistance (line in the sand for declaring a reversal): we still have our line in the sand for declaring a reversal on Bitcoin, which at that point, you know, it's just bullish. Just looking towards prior highs and new highs, but that's 107500. ▶ 29:47
  • 93k: Resistance (open of 2025, likely retest on any rally): it's probably going to retest the open of of uh of 2025, which is about 93,000 bucks, maybe goes a little bit higher than that ▶ 30:23
  • 90.3k: Resistance (this morning's rejection high; reclaiming it validates an early reversal signal): this morning's rejection at 90,328 is a very, very important high. Meaning that if Bitcoin can reclaim that, we do have the early signal validated for a reversal here. ▶ 28:07
  • 89.3k: Resistance (ribbon midline; below it on a daily close the bias is down): as long as Bitcoin is below that midpoint, which is now 88 89,320 on a daily closing basis, biases to the downside. ▶ 26:31
  • 86.2k: Support (scalp level where he would look for a bounce): If you do see the other side hit at 86,223, I would be looking for a bounce, but I would not get greedy with that one. ▶ 25:17
  • 85.5k: Target (low end of the ribbons indicator's blue box): the low end of the blue box right now is 85,500. I believe that still is one of the medicinal targets as well. ▶ 26:01
  • 84.6k: Their view is wrong past this (daily long setup stays valid while daily closes are above it): the daily long over here, they're still very much valid as long as Bitcoin's closing dailies above 84581. ▶ 27:19
  • 84.6k: Target (target two of a 4-hour signal setup): Yeah, it was a 4hour meta signal setup right here. Uh actually target number two is 84569. ▶ 26:17
  • 80k: Support, expected to hold (does not expect a higher-time-frame close below it): I'm personally not looking for a price below about 80,000 bucks on a higher term time frame closing basis ▶ 26:52

Their own position: No position. I don't have a move to make right now for Bitcoin. I just want to wait for the next most obvious trade.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: weeks moved up to waiting.

Views

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): so until it actually crosses and reclaims that number to the upside 3076, I'm looking for this one to come back down and buys towards downside. ▶ 39:00 The call was wrong: 2.94k when said, 3.2k on 5 Jan 2026 (+8.9%).
  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Waiting on 3.08k (timeframe is our reading): I need to see a closure back above last or sorry, two Sundays ago's high uh the 21st of December. That would be the price after pivot at 3076 above there. ▶ 38:30

If this, then that

  • If Ethereum closes back above the 3076 price action pivot on the daily, then no target given (next weeks): That would be the price after pivot at 3076 above there. Yeah, I do think that you do have a nice rally probably back up towards 34 3500. ▶ 38:37

Levels named

  • 3.08k: Resistance (price action pivot; Sunday 21 December high): so until it actually crosses and reclaims that number to the upside 3076, I'm looking for this one to come back down and buys towards downside. ▶ 39:00
  • 2.85k: Target (expects a pop back down while below 3076): it does to me look like it wants to, you know, pop back down to 2850. ▶ 38:56
  • 2.75k: Target (following the downtrend lower): you know, in this case maybe back down around 2750ish region. ▶ 39:12

Their own position: Not said.

1 item read from this video was left out: the quote or number could not be found in the captions.